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efta-efta01459025DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01459025
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The bTO Pthie
Itrontroent viff is i.gilta
Asutaiss Napactioos
PrAtiolth
.4clivirretuon
Alternatives
Our view of non-traditional asset classes
Alternatives portfolios
Due to their distinct characteristics, we take a
differentiated look at selected liquid and illiquid
alternative investments.
Liquid alternatives
a Equity long/short
The performance of equity-long/short strategies year-to-date has
reflected two market dynamics over this period. Firstly, value
has underperformed momentum for the majority of the year
which has hindered the performance of managers' long book.
Secondly, small caps have marginally underperformed large caps
ahead of the turning of the rate cycle in the United States and
equity-long/short managers generically operating with net long
exposure tend to fish in mid and small caps where they believe
alpha can be more easily captured. Looking forward we believe
that exposure to low-net-exposure equity strategies particularly
in the United States will allow investors to generate uncorrelated
returns with less volatility and better downside protection. From
a macro perspective we believe that expansionary ECG monetary
policy coupled with continued weakness in the euro should
provide support for profit growth within Europe.
Event-driven
Event-driven strategies have underperformed year-to-date
particularly soft-catalyst approaches where popular long names
sold off over the summer. In addition the underperformance of
value in markets has hurt the performance of activist strategies.
On the positive side strong corporate balance sheets in the
United States which are flush with cash and the search for
growth through acquisition are two of a number of driving
elements behind the near-record U.S.-dollar volume in mergers-
and-acquisitions (M&A) activity recorded year-to-date. In light
of that, we continue to favor small and agile funds with an M&A
focus and tight risk-management frameworks.
liquid alternatives
Event-driven/ ..
relative
value
Credit
Illiquid alternatives
Illiquid
hedge
funds
Infra-
structure
Private
equity
Illiquid alternatives
a Private equity
U.S. private-equity markets remain active, with valuations at or
near 2007 levels, bolstered by continued interest from strategic
buyers as well as financial buyers sitting on large amounts of
"dry powder' (capital available for investments). Debt availability
is still strong. Total U.S. investment however dropped slightly
in the third quarter from second-quarter levels. Private-equity
markets in Europe have also continued to perform well, with
fundraising for the first three quarters already surpassing the
2014 total. Price and leverage levels have moved close to their
2007 peaks. European exit markets have also been very buoyant
with 2015 on track to be a record year. By contrast, economic
uncertainty in Asia is expected to significantly slow down
private-equity activity in this region although recent corrections
in the public equity market may offer some interesting
investment opportunities.
Sources; Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management Investment
GmbH, Deutsche Bank AC; Filiale London; as of 11/16/2015
This allocation may not be suitable for all investors. In our
balanced model portfolio, we currently allocate 10% to alternative
investments (see "Portfolio").
Please refer to the following interview for the regulatory
requirements for the offer or sale of alternative investments.
• Commodity Trading Advisor
Past performance is not indicative of future returns.
No assurance can be given that any forecast, investment
objectives and/or expected returns will be achieved. Allocations
are subject to change without notice. Forecasts are based on
assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models that
may prove to be incorrect.
Offers and sales of alternative investments are subject to
regulatory requirements and such investments may be available
only to investors who are "Qualified Purchasers" as defined
by the U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940 and "Accredited
Investors." as defined in Regulation D of the 1933 Securities
Act. Alternative investments may be speculative and involve
significant risks including illiquidity, heightened potential for loss
and €ack of transparency.
It. J traltr.
CA) VA* Ame,C14. &IN& I Onyjauto 2015
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0119225
SDNY_GM_00265409
EFTA01459025
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