EFTA Document EFTA01840879

To: From: Jeffrey epstein Sent Fri 3/9/2012 11:06:19 AM Subject: Re: flight hours Best way is to say one airline only flew 1 plane 10 times and bad 1 accident . The other airline flew 1000 planes 100 times each and had had ten thousand accidents . Are both airlines as sage Sorry for all the typos .Sent from my iPhone On Mar 9, 2012, at 4:29 AM, wrote: yes, I read the book twice. Rates are per 1mil flights for each airline. I cant figure out why the number of planes or pilots per airline is relevant? I'm not arguing, I just think Its interesting so want to figure it out.. From: 'effre e stein < eevacation mail.com> To • Sent: nay, arc , Subject: Re: flight hours Again , faulty statistics . Read up on causality . You did not include nbers hired . If more than thousand hour airlines had more planes. Etc I have no info but you have not presented any that arc accurate or meaningful . Random facts. Coincidence . - read fooled by randomness . Taleb Sorry for all the typos .Sent from my iPhone On Mar 9, 2012, at 3:18 AM, Wrote: There is no data about number of flight hours of each pilot involved in an accident/incident, but I looked up co-pilot hiring minimums for each of these airlines and compared it to their safety record over 5 years. Its interesting... Co-pilot hiring minimums: 6 airlines require <1000 hours - ALL have max 3 accidents/ incidents & no fatalities per 1 000 000 takeoffs 20 airlines require >1000 hours - 11 have 4+ accidents, deadly accidents or 4+ incidents per 1 000 000 takeoffs BEST: Airlines with 0 accidents and 0-1 incident per 1 000 000 takeoffs: Expressjet Cape Air Sun Country Air Transport International EFTA_R1_00226101 EFTA01840879 2 have co-pilot hiring minimums under 1000 hours! WORST: Airlines with 5+ accidents or deadly accident or 7+ incidents per 1 000 000 takeoffs: Alaska Airlines Continental Comair Delta Frontier Trans State Airlines United US airways ALL have co-pilot hiring minimums over 1000 hours! <hours.png> EFTA_R1_00226102 EFTA01840880