Case File
efta-efta01148164DOJ Data Set 9OtherINVESTMENT BANK
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Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01148164
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INVESTMENT BANK
Jes Staley, Chief Executive Officer Investment Bank
February 28, 2012
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148164
Agenda
Page
INVESTMENT BANK
Performance
I
Markets
4
Business highlights
13
1
MMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148165
2011: strength amidst volatility
Performance
PERFORMANCE
■ Near record performance
▪ Revenue: $26.3B
▪ Earnings: $6.8B (second highest)
■ ROE of 17% on capital of $40B
■ Further strengthened fortress balance sheet (Tier 1 common ratios)
▪ Basel II: 13.7%
▪ Basel III: 8.4%
■ Sustained Investment Banking leadership
■ #1 in Global IB Fees (third consecutive year): 8% market share'
■ Record loan syndication revenue, advisory fees up 22%
■ Fixed Income: historic high revenue market share, 17%2
■ Equities: record results
■ Commodities: complete franchise
Deelogic
2 Estimated using public disclosure of top 10 competitors. excluding DVA
2
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148166
Strategic initiatives: 2011 progress and 2012 momentum
Performance
PERFORMANCE
Clients
■ Disciplined, sustained focus
■
d
International
■ Formed International Steering Committee
■ Expanded Markets footprint in 20 countries
■ Launched EMEA Prime Brokerage
■ TS/IB Markets growth with corporates
■ Add local market capabilities
■ Build Asia Prime Brokerage
Commodities
■ Achieved targets, increased client activity
■ Completed Sempra integration
■ Maintain leadership
■ Grow developing markets franchise
Technology
■ Strategic Reengineering Program: over
50% complete, on target
■ Doubled electronic equity internalization
■ Further reduced errors and cost per trade
■ Execute Strategic Reengineering Program
■ Rationalize IB/TSS costs and execution
(Value for Scale)
■ Deliver cross-asset platforms for innovation
Capital/risk
management
■ Prudent capital management
■ Continued focus on regulation
■ Efficient capital usage
■ Control during volatility
■ Repositioning ahead of new regulations
3
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148167
Agenda
Page
INVESTMENT BANK
Performance
1
Markets
4
Business highlights
13
4
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148168
Credit, rates and currencies drive the global financial markets
Markets
MARKETS
Non-bank financial assets outpacing growth of traditional sources of capital...
Financial assets (% of GDP)
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1952
1959
1967
1974
1981
1988
1996
2003
2010
Global financial assets are
expected to nearly double over
the next 10 years
Non-bank financials
(MFs, Insurance, HFs,
etc.)
Capital by source (% of GDP)
•
Public Financial Markets • Banks/Govs.
Japan
U.S.
Korea
France
China
Brazil
As countries develop.
banks/goys. are replaced by
public market growth
0
100
200
300
400
...and Fixed Income markets continue to dominate Equities
Gross U.S. equity and long-term debt issuance ($7)
•
Fixed Income'
Equities
5.3
3.4
5.9
6.8
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2011
5.9
Daily average U.S. trading volume ($B)
274
N
1996
348
358
■ Fixed Income'
630
819
893
Equities2
1,034
70
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
950
o
901
103
2010
2011
Note: "Gross U.S. equity and longterm debt Issuance' and "Daily average U.S. trading volume' graphs not shown to scale
Municipal, Treasury, MBS. Corporate Debt, and Federal Agency securities
2 Daily average value traded by the NASDAQ and NYSE
5
MMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148169
Our client franchise is large, diversified and global
Markets
MARKETS
2011 Markets revenue mix
Corporates
13%
Broker
-dealers
441
7%
Banks
16%
Insurance
4%
Asset
Managers
29%
Hedge Funds
23%
Other
Financials1
8%
-16,000
markets clients
EMEA
33°O
Asia
10%
Latam
2%
North America
55%
2011 IB fees mix
Tech. Media.
Telecom
18%
Real Estate
7%
Natural
Resources
23%
Healthcare
11%
Public
Finance
3%
Consumer & Retail
11%
Diversified
Industrials
13%
FIG
14%
-5,000
issuer clients
Asia
Latam
9%
4%
North America
68%
' Other Financials includes pudic sector. pension funds. private equity, and SPVs
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148170
We have unmatched scale. diversification and leadership
Markets
ZEMAIE
Scale
How we operate
2.500 salespeople
2.000 traders
2.000 bankers
800 research analysts
4.000 control and risk
professionals
13.000 tech. & ops.
professionals
40 countries
110+ trading desks
20 trading centers
Diversity
IB revenue (typical quarter)
Fixed Income
100%
Advisory
Equity
Underwritin
Long-term Debt
Syndicated Loans
o_
LL
U.
Rates
Securitized
Products
Emerging
Markets
Credit
Trading
Commodities
FX
Agralaiaglaa
E-10=0:n
Cash
Derivatives
Prime Services
Structures
Leadership
Industry rankings
2009
2010
2011'
#3
# 4
#2
1
3
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
1
5
5
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
8
4
9
3
8
4
9
NIA
NIA
3
3
1
2
2
2
NIA
NrA
NA
Note: Coalition competitor set: BAC. BARC. C. CS. OB. GS. MS. and UBS
Fixed Income and Equities ranking as of 3O YID 2011 (Coalition — Revenue): Banking rankings are FY 2011 (Dealogic - Volume)
7
Descriptions
■ MA. Corporate Finance advisory
• Primary and secondary issuance
■ Bond underwriting
■ Loan syndication
• Treasuries, agencies, swaps, futures, options
• Mortgage and asset backed securities
■ Non G-10 rates, credit. FX
■ Corporate bonds, loans, credit swaps, index
products
• Swaps, futures, options, physical transactions
• Spot foreign exchange swaps, futures, options
• Municipal debt trading and issuance
• Rates and credit
■ High touch execution
• Low touch execution (electronic)
• Swaps, options, convertibles
• Financing, execution, clearing
• Margin financing, Structured notes
JPMORGAN CHASE &Co.
EFTA01148171
Flow driven Markets business
Markets
I:IfltE
IB Markets revenue: typical quarter (%)
100%
Fixed
Income
70%
Equities
30%
100%
Flow
Flow
100%
Rates
Securitized
Products
Emerging
Markets
Credit Trading
Commodities
FX
Public Finance
Cash
Derivatives
Prime Services
Structured
8
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148172
High volume Markets business model with standardized products
Markets
I:I=EEE
a)
is
LLI
Examples of major trading
products
Quantity per quarter
(# of trades)
x
Average revenue
($ per trade)
Revenue per
quarter ($mm)
• FX Spot/Forwards
5.000,000
70
350
• Credit Trading
250,000
1.500
375
• FX Options
150,000
600
100
• Metals Trading
140,000
600
75
• Financing
100,000
1,500
150
• Governments
75,000
2.500
200
• Energy Trading
50,000
5,000
250
• Interest Rate Swaps
30,000
12,000
350
• Asset Backed Securities
30,000
10,000
300
• Agencies
11,000
7.000
75
• Loan Trading
10 .000
10,000
100
• Cash Equities (N.A.)
10B shares
1.5 cents per share
150
• Cash Equities (EMEA/Asia)
$200B notional
8bps
175
• Equity Swaps and Options
6,000
30,000
200
• F&O and OTC clearing
350mm lots
40 cents per lot
150
S
Note: Quantity. average revenue and total revenue are estimates based on typical quarter: revenue per quarter rounded
9
JPMORGAN CHASE &. CO.
EFTA01148173
Over 90% of the Global Fortune 500 use swaps, futures, and options
Markets
Global Fortune 500
Usage by industry
98%
97%
95%
Total usage across
all industries: 94%
92%
92%
92%
91%
88%
Financial
Basic
Tech.
Industrial
Health
Utilities Consumer Services
materials
goods
care
goods
Source. ISDA 2009 Survey
MARKETS
Usage by product
88%
83%
49%
29%
20%
FX
hterest rate
Connelly
aPRY
Credit
10
JPMORGAN CHASE &Co.
EFTA01148174
Scale driven Markets business model
Markets
MARKETS
Estimated % of total client trades by average revenue per trade (FY 2011)
98%
■ High volume (-100,000 daily trades)
■ Low spread
1.2%
■ Low volume (-10 daily trades)
■ High spread
0.6%
0.2%
0.08%
0.06%
$0-$50K
$50K-$100K
$100K-$250K
$250K-$500K
500K-$1mm
$1mm+
% of Total Revenue 4
75%
-►
4
25%
Note: Represents Fixed Income business
11
JPMORGAN CHASE &Co.
EFTA01148175
High turnover Markets business model
Markets
Case study — North America interest rate swaps daily turnover metrics
120
MARKETS
Average daily
turnover: 53
36
24
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
44
Day 4
57
75
29
Day 5
Day 6
Day 7
26
37
77
Day 8
Day 9
Day 10
Client businesses carry little risk inventory and turn their positions multiple times a day
Note: Turnover defined as daily DV01 risk traded divided by starting DV01. DV01 is the risk position for a desk (amount of money desk makes or loses on a one basis point move
in the yield curve): actual two•week period in 2011
12
MMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148176
Agenda
Page
INVESTMENT BANK
Performance
1
Markets
4
Business highlights
13
13
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148177
Well positioned to adapt to regulation
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Clearing and
Swap
Execution
Facilities
(SEFs)
Volcker
Non-Bank
Subsidiary
(NBS) swap
"push out"
Impact
■ Mandated clearing
■ Meaningful volumes
■ Lesser revenue impact
■ Ban on Bright Line
proprietary trading
■ Immaterial revenue impact
■ Not a large business
■ Limits market
making/hedging ability
■ Pushing-out portions of below
investment grade CDS,
equity and commodities
derivatives
n No significant revenue or
capital changes expected
Concerns
I
■ Unresolved: end-user
margin/extraterritoriality
■ Concentration of
exposure to central
counterpanes
■ Could limit liquidity
• Clients
■ Markets
■ Compliance emphasis
may impact costs
■ Complicates risk
management
■ Extraterritoriality:
potential impact to scope
Strengths
■ Competitive advantage by
being a scale player with
existing connectivity and
access to SEFs
■ Long-track record of client-
focused business model
■ Competitors may need to
re-orient their businesses
■ Operational excellence:
depth of experience
managing complex
migrations
Strong governance programs in place to address regulatory change: 500 people; 65+ projects
14
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO.
EFTA01148178
Expense discipline enables investment capacity
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
J.P. Morgan IB expense ($B)
• Compensation '
• Noncompensation
13.8
15.4
16.8'
7.5
6.1
9.3
9.2
7.7
2008
2009
2010
Overhead ratIo2
NM
51%
65%
Compirevenuet2
75%
31%
36%
16.1
7.2
8.9
2011
65%
36%
1 2010 compensation expense excludes $0.5B of U.K. payroll tax
2Overhead and comptrevenue ratios exclude DVA impact
15
Highlights
■ Disciplined expense management
■ Total expense down 4%
■ Focus on operating efficiency
■ Best-in-class overhead ratio
r Lowest comp/revenue ratio
■ Continued investment capacity
■ Strategic Reengineering Project (SRP)
■ International expansion
■ Commodities execution
■ International Prime Brokerage
■ Value for Scale
■ Synergies across wholesale businesses
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148179
Global Corporate Bank: contributing to IB Markets and Treasury Services
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
2011 international revenue with corporates
I
IB Markets
Rates
FX
Commodities
32%
28%
27%
Excludes nonrecurring items
Treasury Services
Trade
Liquidity
Core cash
Trade loan growth
35%
-22% growth
YoY
47%
revenue
growth
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148180
Leveraging the J.P. Morgan platform
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
J.P. Morgan
Investment Bank
Leveraging the wholesale platform
Commercial
Banking
■ IB recognized
fees for 147
debt and 77
equity deals for
CB clients in
2011
■ $1.4B gross
revenue in 2011
Treasury &
Securities
Services
■ Expanded client
coverage/footprint
with Global
Corporate Bank
■ Increased credit
extension and
product
penetration
Asset
Management
■ 41 new Private
Bank clients from
IB referrals
■ 71 Private Bank
referrals to the IB
■ Expanding
international
referrals and
syndication
access
IB cross-LOB gross revenue share ($B)
18%
2011 total: $2.7B
17
JPMORGAN CHASE &. CO.
EFTA01148181
Proven risk management capability
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
J.P. Morgan Markets revenue and VaR
$8
25
20
15
10
5
0
12.2
2006
2007
JPM Markets revenue
JRA VaR
4.2
23.5
19.3
19.3
2008
2009
2010
2011
$mm
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Market
8%
9%
10%
13%
12%
14%
share'
Note: Revenue excludes DVA; peers: BAC, BARG, C, CS, DB, GS, MS and UBS
Estimated using public disclosure of top 10 competitors, including DVA
2 Volatility equals standard deviation as a percentage of the period average
Average revenue over past 12 quarters
JPM -30% greeter than peers
S3.9
Peers
J.P.Morgan
Markets revenue volatility2 of past 12 quarters
40%
Peers
JPM -40% less than peers
25°O
J.P.Morgan
-30% higher revenue than peers with -40% less volatility
18
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148182
Fortress balance sheet and prudent capital management
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Risk Weighted Assets (based on Basel Ill)
$550
4O10 actual
$467
($54)
$413
4O11 actual
4Q12 glidepath
Allocated equity ($B)
40
40
40
Basel Ill Tier 1
common ratio
7.2%
8.4%
9.5%
Note: 2012 RWA reduction is a combination of legacy asset roll•off, risk adjustments, and continued RWA management discipline
19
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148183
Consistency of results
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
JPM Investment Bank ROE vs. peers
17%
■ JPM IB
■ Peer average'
14%
17%
8%
2010
2011
'Pest average ROE excludes firms without sufficient IB segment•level disclosure
2Adjusted for non•recuring items
Markets revenue (Equities and FICC, $B)
Industry
146
%
131
2010
2011
JPM
Peer 1
Peer 2
Peer 3
Peer 4
Peer 5
Peer 6
Peer 7
Peer 8
Individual firms
YoY
20
17
17
15
15
2%
(21%)
(3%)
(15%)
(16%)
36%
(25%)
1%
(30%)
20
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148184
Performance and outlook
Business highlights
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
J.P. Morgan IB ROE
18%
1 8%
15%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Target
Allocated
capital
20
21
21
26
33
40
40
40
($6)
21
Outlook
• We are holding 17% target going forward
■ Headwinds to consider
Regulatory burden
Global market uncertainty
Tougher RWA calculations
Sustained low interest rate environment
L Key drivers
Scale and diversity of franchise
Market leadership
Growth initiatives
Disciplined expense management
Strong capital position
JPMORGAN CHASE &CO.
EFTA01148185
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