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efta-01388953DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388953
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01388953
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3016 Earnings Preview
Office: Valuations remain attractive, but specter of recession remains an overhang
'Figure 66: 1-Month Office performance
'Figure 67: YTD Office performance
.01%
2%
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a
ir
•
a
1
r”Sit
11
Smarr
Offka
Mks
60%
-1111iliffi
90% esfriseentottneri 0 >#,1141 040-40,1
I4011 is* (Me se Wee 494, 01.540,1?
As of 10/14/16
As of 10/14/16
SoweeDastra•
SAE
'Figure 68: vacancy flat while rents decelerate
1+0%
Map! Market%
120%
100%
00%
Sam Dolma Sons.
Figure 69: SS NO( (Cash) growth WY r 20.0%
NO%
13.(M4
100%
50% oc%
00%
1 it lir
30%
,
40%
40%
00%
•
%# 41,
41,
/% 6 V b4" ,1/444V
,
"%et ik t
n
ts,
SW Gran O'N
•••••••Voc0erceei
20.0%
SO:
kill a
150.
.100%
.1,0.
1
em
CU
•RC
SLG
VNG 41IY.
%MO MC,
Average
SS EINTDAOSSEIn0Ai
•2010
*S315
• 1015
1016 a2015
•
YN market rent growth of +3.5% in 3O16 is
*
Rent commencement of previously-signed leases down 40bps from 2O16, and has been on a
and free rent burn off should support elevated SS decelerating trend since 4O15
NOI growth
Rent growth slows vs. 2O16 in NY (+3.8%), LA
(+3.4%), and Boston (+2.7%). DC improved
(+2.5%) while SF was unchanged (+5.1%)
•
Vacancy flat q/q. Boston. LA, and SF improved.
NY was unchanged, while vacancy increased in
DC
Nogg rage afters comae PM DC. %mon. LA ara Sr
Sewn Dancer Sent RE6
E
Sawa area Leant can
a
Key Office topics/questions for 3O16
•
Health of the leasing environment, with national momentum generally
healthy
•
Supply in the major markets, and impact on pricing power
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 37
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. GRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092964
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00239148
EFTA01388953
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