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efta-01388954DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388954
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DOJ Data Set 10
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3016 Earnings Preview
PGRE
Earnings
Care FFO/sti
opfling Metrics
Synod Occupancy
Ohl ch
Total Leasing Volume
Rent spreads (cash/
5$ NOI growth (cash, yty)
Note consensus estimates are based on Thomson compiled data as of 10/14/16
Update on vacant space at 1633 Broadway, 1301 Ave of the Americas, 31 West 52nd St.
3016
2010
ADtuel
Actual
$0 20
SO 23
ADtuS
MIS
92.9%
92.9%
-190bp
-270bp
390,142
149.896
134%
22.9%
N/A
-14.0%
3010
Actual
DIM
Cons
$0.19
S0.19
Actual
DBe
92.4%
-47bp
36,785
15 0%
2010
Pre 30 Guide
Post 30 Guide
DIM
Cons
$061 -$085
$0.85
$0 .85
Pre 30 Guide
Post 30 Guide
DB.
92.6%
402,416
150%
•
Tenant interest in 150ksf being vacated in January at 1325 Ave of the Americas
•
Update on retail leasing plan at 1633 Broadway
•
Commentary regarding large block demand and high end office demand in NYC
•
Overall pace of leasing in D.C. as the election nears
•
We are updating our model to reflect the One Front Street acquisition and recent financing activity. Our 2016
NAREIT FFO/sh estimate moves to 87c from 86c, core FFO moves to 85c from 83c, and FAD moves to 37c from
35c. Our 2017 NAREIT and core FFO estimates move to 96c from 89c, and FAD moves to 54c from 48c. Please
see Figure 98 for a summary of our estimate revisions
Scum. 0-
ant, Carpi," dalik Thention
Figure 75: Sl.G 3016 WSllit 131C.:101^:
31.13
Eamage
FFCpsh
Operating Medics
Manhattan leasing volume le gnedl
Manhattan occupancy (commenced!
Menhaden rent soread (signed)
Manhattan rent spread tcomrnenced)
Subtrban leasing volume (sgnedl
Subtrban occupancy (commenced'
Subaban rem spread (sone&
Suburban rem spread (commenced)
SS NCH growth y/y lash, combined/
Note consensus estimates are based en Thomson comp led data as of 10/14/16
•
With the construction loan in place, update on the funding plans for One Vanderbilt: JV now, JV following some
leasing, or wholly-own the asset
•
SLG recently noted deceleration in high end leases, while BXP has been more positive
•
Update on leasing goal. Per management commentary, SLG had leased -2.3msf as of mid-September,
suggesting -830ksf of leasing in 3Q with a few weeks to go
•
Press reports from The Real Deal suggesting that SLG is looking to sell its 16 Court St. office tower in Brooklyn
for $160MM
•
Update on the health of luxury street retail
•
View on the health of SLG's structured finance business
3015
2010
Actsal
Maid
$1 65
S339
Acbal
Actual
533.697
621,150
926%
956%
156%
161%
268%
118%
131.366
177.684
798%
806%
-38%
25%
-52%
28%
65%
6.6%
3010
Actual
DB*
SI 43
Cone
SI 50
Actual
Dfle
956%
I16%
809%
6%
2010
Pre 30 Glide
Poet 30 Gait
DEle
Cone
5817'S825
5819
5829
Pre 30 adds Pod 30 Guide
DB eM
2 600.000
97%.
95 9%
72%
204%
81 1%
82%
6 0% - 6 5%
Sever Dana. OirIt. cones,'n dirk monne
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 41
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092968
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00239152
EFTA01388954
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