Case File
efta-01447422DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01447422
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384 HK Hr 1, 1 13 . 08
• 74
H13 . 10 :13 .181 14000 x14000
17.9'80,000 l2.00
, 1. 13.38
12.80-
236.647M
Save Ls
fti Act ors
•
913 Edit
7.ntraday Chart
KraZ)
CET=
EMI
1=3M11^
•
: Track
Annotate
Hews
zoom
0. 13.EO
I • 384 HK Ecentr
1108
*Close on 06/15 ---- 11.60
T High on 05/22 02:07 1338
••• Average
12.3934
I Low on 05/15 21:30 1152
16
16
19
19
20
21
71
22
0- 12.50
-12.0O
11.50
--- Forwarded by
Front
To.
jeevacationegmaitcorn.
Cc
Paul Mores.
Date
04.162014 11:46AM
Subject. China Gas Holdings 1384 HK) - consider tactical long-equity position [C]
on 05'22,2014 0925 AM ----
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey -
Have you looked at China Gas (384.HK)? Consider tactical position - long equity - on potential for a Russia/Chnui nat gas
agreement.
Gazprom (GAZP.RX, Ste denominated shams) is likely the more common implementation (both charts below). Would argue that
the new pipeline diverts existing supply for Gazprom. where it is incremental earnings growth for the likes of China Gas.
htto://www.reuters.conilarticle/2014/04/09/russia-china-gas-idUSL6N0N1 IXM20 140409
The original call is on The 3rd Plenum's commitment to environmental reform (specifically reduction of carbon emissions by
increasing nat gas usage). The near-term catalyst stems from this week's developments in the Ukranian-Russian crisis. Not
surprisingly, with the chill from the Western world threatening demand for Russia's commodity. Putin's accelerated conversations to
the east. Market chatter suggests that negotiations on a Russia-China pipeline could divert 38bn cubic meters of gas per year over to
China, and that Putin has sped up negotiations with the intent of turning his presently scheduled May 20 visit to China, into a signing
ceremony for an export contract.
The stock is a hedge fund name. The DB analyst has been less fond (latest rating is hold with a 9 HKD target). I think this is a tactical,
geopolitically-driven entry point on a name that's also a compelling long-term growth investment. Right now it's trading close to 25x
2013 EPS gists of 0.50 HICD, bull case is meaningful upside potential in earnings on an uptake of nat gas in China.
China Gas (384 HK is fairly liquid - --5mm share avg daily volume over the last month)
Tazia
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0102049
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY GM_00248233
EFTA01447422
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