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efta-01458534DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01458534
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DOJ Data Set 10
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To: Jj Litchford; Paul Morris; Stewart Oldfield
Subject: RE: Research Intro
Approved email attached
From: Jj Litchford
Sent: Thursday, October 08, 2015 11:31 AM
To: Paul Morris; Stewart Oldfield
Cc: Melinda Roy
Subject: FW: Research Intro
Below is proposed language for the monthly research email.... Let me know if there are any objections.
Please find attached the October issue of CIO View, Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management's flagship thought-
leadership publication. In this edition, Chief Investment Officer Asoka W0hrmann tackles the question "Why are markets
so unsettled?" and explores why we believe a global economic recovery remains intact despite a more muted outlook
for some markets, particularly in developing countries.
His nine positions are:
-
Pace of global economic growth is likely to slow down for a while.
-
Emerging markets' growth advantage has been eroded.
-
Commodity-exporting countries hurt by low commodity prices.
-
U.S. Federal Reserve Board postpones rate hike and the pace of subsequent increases will be slow.
-
The Fed and low inflation may force the European Central Bank to continue easing beyond September 2016.
-
Private equity and hedge funds should benefit from the capital market environment.
-
Oil prices climb as slowly as output capacity contracts.
-
Earnings forecasts revised down slightly for developed markets and significantly for emerging markets.
-
Asset allocation of our balanced model portfolio for clients based in the Americas:
Equities: 50%, Fixed income: 39%, Alternatives: 10%, Commodities: 1%
If you wish to discuss where we see opportunity in current markets, we will be happy to schedule a call. Additional
pieces include:
•
CIO Macro Outlook - In a separate piece, Asoka W6hrmann delves deeper into the effect of developed market
quantitative easing on emerging market, and subsequently, global growth.
•
Weekly Highlights - Our U.S. Wealth Management CIO, Larry Adam, focuses on 3Q performance, Japanese
economic indicators, and Eurozone resilience to EM weakness.
•
Economic & Asset Class Outlook — The U.S. CIO office outlines their near-term and long-term economic and asset
class forecasts.
•
U.S. Equity Insights - David Bianco, U.S. Equity Strategist, cuts his S&P 2015 end target and predicts weak 3Q
EPS.
JJ Litchford
Associate Banker
Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 24th Flea
New York. New York 10154
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0118492
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00264676
EFTA01458534
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