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efta-01459577DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01459577
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01459577
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Multi Asset Investment Committee Forecasts
January 2016
GDP Growth
al q4
Return
30YOrelgrIRien
2016
Carman
Curren!
Wodd
32%
3.4%
USA
22%
2.4%
EL R vs USD
108
Eurohind
14%
10%
USDw SY
11651
UK
25%
22%
EUR vs CHF
110
Japan
08%
1.2%
08P m USD
143
China
68%
80%
USD... CNY'
656
Ethane°
2015
2018
Commodities
Currant:
M V
USA Komi PCE)
14%
1.0%
CO 9Y TO in USD
32
Euro1ond
01%
1.2%
Gob lob%)
1096
UK
02%
1.8%
Japan
China
07%
15%
0.6%
12%
Baubles
Current'
Drvidend
Yield
(1.24)?
N74 PIE
Forecast'
NOW EPS
Forecast'
USA (SIP 5C0)
1907
2.2%
18 27
16.75
124
Curt Mal Balance
2015
2016
Eurobnd (Euro Sub 50)
3023
3.5%
13 26
14.50
236
ea %of GOP
Germany(DA)0
9785
2.8%
12 30
1375
819
USA
4.8%
-30%
UK (FTSE 100)
5900
42%
1497
14.75
401
Eurobnd
30%
10%
MSC' Japan OM
832
1.9%
13.71
16.00
62
UK
4.7%
4.2%
Assam Japan (MSG on USD)
448
27%
11 27
1200
39
Japan
20%
2.0%
Won Amines (1460 in USD)
1621
3.1%
13 38
14.00
104
China
20%
18%
COMM'
Fiscal Balance
m % a GCP
2015
2016
USA
2.05%
USA
-2.5%
-2.3%
Eurobnd (Gorman Bond)
041%
Euroland
-22%
-1.9%
UK
171%
UK
4.5%
4.5%
Japan
023%
Japan
45%
4 5%
China
4.4%
-2.a
Current
Credit
Yield
Current
Coupon'
Spreads
Key Unrest Rates
Current'
12 Mo Forecast
BBarclaysU S High Yield
5 70%
9 47%
790
Moe 2016)
JPM OBI. EM Global Oryersthed (Local)
700%
USA (Fed funds)
025%
0.75-1.00%
JPM cmen (EM Broad today) (Hard Crrency)
457
Eurobnd (Rah nate)
005%
0.05%
UK (Repo Me)
050%
0.75%
japan (Mmid mte)
010%
0.10%
Footnotes Macro estimates are according to Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management and are as of November 2015. U.S. GOP is 40 over 4a ! Current as of January 22. 2016. 7
LTM stands for last twelve months. 3 P/11 and EPS forecasts are according to Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management. a Direction in sovereign bonds is yield move. High yield
spread is high yield versus five year Treasury 8 hie4 3% move in credit is return move.
Source FaCI$et. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
Neal 3%. Move
I1 Month Fonacia.•
(Dec 2016)
0.96
130.00
9.7%
1.13
24%
1.62
8.0%
640
49%
12 Month Forecast
12 Month Return
(004 2018)
tee 20t6)
60
55.3%
1000
44%
Nan
mow
12 Month Forecast
12 Mbrlin Return
(Doc 2016)
(Dec 2016)
Next 3%• Yield Move?
(.4
Next
Move'
2000
11.3%
3400
16.0%
11300
15.7%
5900
4.2%
1000
22.1%
470
7.6%
1500
4.3%
12 Month Forecast
(00C2016)
12 Month
(NC 2016)
2.40%
0.75%
-2.7%
2.20%
-2.3%
0.38%
4.9%
12-Month (Price Rearm
12 Month Return
Estimate)
H
44%
Deutsche Bank
Itkralth Mormgement
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 120081
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00266265
EFTA01459577
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