Case File
efta-01462286DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01462286
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Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01462286
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•
Given the recent downward move in commodities, commodity linked currencies have experienced increased
volatility and marked depreciation vs. USD (see historical price chart below)
•
Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
•
Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied vol, skew
and forward dynamics (i.e. client buys foreign currency call and sells foreign currency put)
•
Looking at volatility adjusted skew amongst commodity currencies, current USDBRL levels provide a compelling
entry point into premium neutral risk reversals.
Commodity Currencies and Oil • 6 month Normalized Performance
110.
100k
100.
7//2014
—SPLI$D
sea --• AVM*
—
NOMAD
---,4•LADUSD
700 —
(amity
30%
11/2/2014
9/21 /014
10•21.t014
II/It/014
Iliti/011
I it.flaIS
Ca no
Other commodity currencies: While for USDBRL call strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away,
for USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away from spot.
Best regards,
Daniel
Daniel Sabba
Key Client Partners
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 124770
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00270954
EFTA01462286
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