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efta-01462287DOJ Data Set 10Other

EFTA01462287

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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01462287
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EFTA Disclosure
Text extracted via OCR from the original document. May contain errors from the scanning process.
USDBRL Curacy (L5D-BRL X-RATE) Daily 05JAN2010-05JAN2015 CopyrightA 2015 Bloomberg Finance LP. OS-Jan-201516:53:43 • Last Price 1 2.7060 T High on 12/16/14 2.7387 -0- Average 1.%36 J. Low on 07/26/11 1.5391 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Frcnil Daniel Satba tlt obcom To jeevacation@gmail corn Cc Paul Morris. Date 01/0520Th 11:38 AM Subic'cl Commodity currencies: bullish reversals in BRL.„ ICJ 2.8000 2.7060 2.6000 2.4000 2.2000 2.0000 1.8000 1.6000 Classification: Confidential Jeffrey, Happy new year.This idea looks particularly interesting to USDBRL. Indicative pricing and rationale below: Notional: USD 10mm Expiry: 6m Client buys USDBRL put / sells USDBRLcall Put strike: 2.70 Call strike: 3.10 Net Premium Offer: Zero (mid of put $162.5k and mid on call is $175k) Spot ref. 2.7210 6m forward ref : 2.8560 / 2.8635 Rationale: Given the recent downward move in commodities, commodity linked currencies have experienced increased volatility and marked depreciation vs. USD (see historical price chart below) Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied vol, skew and forward dynamics (i.e. client buys foreign currency call and sells foreign currency put) Looking at volatility adjusted skew amongst commodity currencies, current USDBRL levels provide a compelling entry point into premium neutral risk reversals. CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 124772 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00270956 EFTA01462287

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GPS1.8000 1.6000
GPS2.2000 2.0000
GPS2.6000 2.4000
GPS2.8000 2.7060

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