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efta-efta01088806DOJ Data Set 9OtherGENERALIZED BOND EQUATION
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01088806
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GENERALIZED BOND EQUATION
Initial question:
What will be the most profitable: To buy fewer high coupon
bonds, or more low coupon bonds, assuming their yield, risk etc. is the
aame at the time of purchase. In other words; how does an investor chose
between different bonds of the same maturity,risk etc. when the yield is
the same for all?
Initial assumption:
Buy x high coupon bonds (label I)
or
buy y low coupon bonds (label 2).
Initially therefore the value of one holdings Is exactly equal
to the value of the other holding.
x.vi = y.v2
(y>x)
Diestiort After n years, during which the average interest rate was
equal to kav , what Is the relationship that determines the
value of one holding relative to the other?
The equation
i/x2 AI ( 1* kav f rt
X vi yix .v2 -
t -h
appears to describe this relationship.
Here
vi = Value of high couponbond after n years
v2 = Value of low couponbond after n gears
x = Number of high couponbonds
y = Number of low couponbonds
= Difference in arrual coupon income between the 2 bonds
kav= Average interest rates that could have been earned
on the couponpayments during the n years.(Approximation)
h answer to the question therefore depends on the interest rates that
Prevail on the date of sale of the holdings, and also on the interest rates
axing the years the bonds were held.
It is therefore not possible to select a high couponbond
versus a low couponbond, unless a forecast of interest rates is also
'tact
EFTA01088806
VALUE OF INVESTMENT WHEN
2000000-,
INTEREST RATE IS 20%
•••
1750000
1500000
4
1250000
0
1000000
750000
500000
86 90 92 94 96 98 2...
YEAR
0
10% COUPON,
1000 BONDS
0
15%COUPON
728 BONDS
EFTA01088807
VALUE OF INVESTMENT WHEN
2000000
INTEREST RATE IS 10%
1750000
1500000
1250000
1000000
750000
500000
88 90 92 94 96 98 2.
YEAR
0
15% COUPON
728 BONDS
10%COUPON
1000 BONDS
EFTA01088808
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