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efta-efta01385532DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385532
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> TMT
0 Infineon — Johannes Schaller, BUY, close €24.1, €29 tgt, 20% upside
■ Automotive semiconductors is a growth sector, benefiting from
exposure to autonomous vehicles (ADAS), electrification and digitalisation.
This should all lead to meaningfully higher semiconductor content per car.
■ Infineon is the highest-quality large-cap play in the sector with a best-in-
class technology portfolio and strong exposure to faster growing German
premium manufacturers as well as strong direct exposure to Chinese
brands and share gains across Asia (incl. Japan)
■ A leader in tomorrow's technologies, with ambitions to drive share gains
through innovation in next-gen Auto applications such as radar, lidar, 32-bit
high-performance microcontrollers and next-gen power semis.
■ 2018 guidance is for impressive 9% growth (13% in USD terms vs the
semiconductor industry at 5%).
■ We believe long-term guidance is somewhat conservative at 17%
through-the-cycle margins and 8% revenue growth, compared to 18.5% and
9%, respectively, in Q4.
■ We expect margin leverage from the Dresden 300mm fab ramp. This is
highly cost-effective (25% cheaper than the industry standard) and should
lead to structurally higher margins.
■ Despite c40% performance YTD, at 24x CY18 PIE Infineon's
outperforrnance over the industry and share gains vs peers are not truly
reflected in valuation. See potential upside to >E30, reflecting long-term
margin and growth potential in bull-case DCF.
■ Catalysts: 15t CMD in a long time on 12th June 2018 in London where long-
term growth and margin potential should become much clearer
Related DB Research: It is becoming increasingly evident... (Schalleq
Deutsche Bank
A play on Auto semis, and thus ADAS, EVs and digitalisation
Chip Card & Security, 10%
Power Management &
Multimarket. 30%
Automotive. 43%
Industrial Power Control. 17%
FX masks margin expansion and mid-teens EPS growth in 18E
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
2014
2015
2016
Infineon EPS —% EPS growth (RI-IS)
2017E
2018E
2019E
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
ctse.he, Bank Rth>earch. Etzopec:n
Focus — .jar!LiaTy 2018
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0086818
SDNY_GM_00233002
EFTA01385532
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